TOWRIDXThe short version
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk.
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara is Indonesia's largest tower landlord by revenue, leasing 36,247 towers to the country's mobile carriers on long-term contracts; the Hartono family controls about 65% of the shares.
From a January high of Rp625 the shares slid to a Rp316 low in June, then recovered to Rp414 — a six-month round trip that left them near multi-year lows.
Rp414
Share price · 23 Jul 2026
Rp24.5tn
Market capitalisation
Rp13.3tn
FY2025 revenue
6.0×
Price / FY2025 earnings
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The statements
Revenue climbed 54% over five years; per-share earnings did not
FY2021 → FY2025as reported · Rp
RevenueRp13.3T+5%
Operating margin56.3%−0.8pp
Net incomeRp3.7T+9%
EPSRp69.00+3%
Free cash flowRp7.1T+47%
Open the full statements →As reported, FY2021–FY2025. Operating margin is EBIT; EBITDA margin is higher.
- Growth, spread thin. Revenue rose from Rp8.6tn in 2021 to Rp13.3tn in 2025, but basic EPS held at Rp69 — successive equity raises spread a slowly-growing profit over more shares.
- A landlord's margins. The towers convert more than four-fifths of revenue to EBITDA (82%); after depreciation and a finance-cost wedge that takes ~41% of operating profit, about 28% reaches net profit.
- Cash ahead of earnings. Free cash flow stepped up to Rp7.07tn as capex fell to Rp3.29tn, and net debt/EBITDA dropped to 3.7x from 4.6x.
Valuation gap
The headline free-cash-flow yield is struck before the lenders are paid
From reported cash flow to what reaches equity (Rp bn)
FY2025 audited cash-flow statement; the bridge is drawn by the report.
- The Rp7.07 trillion of "free cash flow" TOWR reports is struck before it pays its lenders; after Rp2.78 trillion of cash interest and Rp1.26 trillion of lease payments, roughly Rp3.0 trillion actually reaches equity — set against Rp15.5 trillion of debt maturing within a year and Rp2.27 trillion of cash on hand.
- Real cash, not a mirage. That ~Rp3.0tn still covers the Rp1.19tn dividend about 2.5 times; the correction lowers the yield rather than breaking the thesis.
- The other side. The debt is investment-grade (S&P BBB-, Fitch AAA(idn)), much of the sub-one-year figure is auto-renewing revolvers, and management paid down more than its own operations generated — so in normal markets the rollover is routine.
Control and capital
The controlling family is both the largest owner and a lender
~98%
of the Rp5.5tn rights issue funded by the Hartono family
Rp680
Subscription price — above today's Rp414
65.2%
Family stake after the raisefrom 60.0%
~9%
of TOWR's debt owed to family bank BCA
- The Hartono family funded roughly 98% of TOWR's Rp5.5 trillion rights issue at Rp680 a share — above today's Rp414 — while, through its own bank BCA, sitting on the other side of about 9% of the company's debt: the controller is at once its largest owner and a meaningful lender to it.
- Conviction, not extraction. Roughly Rp5.4tn of fresh family cash lifted the stake to 65.2% at a price now underwater, diluting minorities below 35% rather than cashing out.
- Watch the other side. The BCA loan is captive but shrank year-on-year (Rp4.83tn to Rp4.00tn), and director pay is controller-set — benign today, a related party on both sides under stress.
Revenue mix
Growth has moved off the towers and into fibre
FY2025 revenue by line (Rp tn)
Tower tenanciesRp tn8.765%
Services & otherRp tn3.023%
VSAT & fibreRp tn1.612%
Tower tenancies fell to 65% of revenue from 71% in 2023.
- The durable core is flat. Tower-tenancy income — long-term, non-cancellable leases — grew only ~2% to Rp8.73tn, and now supplies 65% of revenue, down from 71% two years earlier.
- The growth is lower-margin. VSAT and fibre rose 31% to Rp1.55tn and services to Rp3.05tn, which pulls blended EBITDA margin down from 85% toward 82% even as absolute EBITDA rises.
Carrier consolidation
Three carriers now supply 87% of revenue
Customer concentration (FY2025)
| Concentration | FY2025 |
|---|---|
| Largest customer (XLSmart) | 42% of revenue |
| Top three customers | 87% of revenue |
| Mobile carriers, post-merger | 3 |
| Lease term | ~10-yr, non-cancellable |
- A narrower funnel. The XLSmart merger took Indonesia's mobile market to three carriers; one customer is 42% of revenue and the top three are 87%, so pricing power sits with a shrinking buyer base.
- The tailwind still runs. Each merged carrier must keep densifying for double-digit data-traffic growth, and the leases are ~10-year and non-cancellable — the demand behind the towers has not gone away.
Colocation engine
Spare tower capacity is the lever that has not yet moved
FY2025 revenue growth by line (%)
Tower income Rp8.73tn (+2.3%); VSAT & fibre Rp1.55tn (+31.4%).
- The economics turn on tenants per tower. TOWR ended 2025 at 1.67; the next tenant on a standing tower costs almost nothing, so a rising ratio would drop straight to margin — the free option 5G densification could exercise.
- The ratio has stalled. Tower income grew ~2% while fibre grew 31%, and peer Tower Bersama's ratio slipped from 1.87 to 1.73 as mergers deduplicate tenants — the lever is dormant, not yet proven.
Debt durability
A family-funded balance-sheet reset in one year
Leverage (x)
The sharpest single-year deleveraging in the five-year record.
- The right direction. The Rp5.5tn rights issue plus internal cash cut net debt/EBITDA to 3.7x from 4.6x and net debt/equity to 1.6x from 2.6x; average borrowing cost fell to 6.0% from 6.5%.
- Still leveraged, still investment-grade. At 3.7x, net debt is near four years of EBITDA and the repair leaned on fresh equity — but ratings are S&P BBB- / Fitch AAA(idn) with interest cover of 3.9x.
Capital allocation
Capital allocation put the balance sheet first
Capital actions, 2025
| Action | What happened |
|---|---|
| Rights issue | Rp5.5tn raised, all into Protelindo to repay debt |
| Dividend | Cut to fund deleveraging — DPS Rp24.1 to Rp15.9 |
| Buyback | ~122m shares (~0.2%) — a signal, not a payout |
| M&A | 51% of MAN; 40% of listed fibre operator Remala |
- Discipline in sequence. Equity in to cut leverage, dividend trimmed to match, acquisitions kept small and adjacent in fibre and connectivity, buyback token — not a payout sustained on borrowed money.
- What a bankruptcy-averse owner wants. A controller that injects capital to repair the balance sheet, rather than defending a dividend with debt, is behaving the right way round for a fallen tower landlord.
The multiple
Priced at half its peers, and below its own history
EV / EBITDA (x)
TOWR audited FY2025; peer multiples on FY2026 estimates, not strictly like-for-like.
- Cheap on every frame. At ~6x earnings and ~6.2x EV/EBITDA, TOWR trades roughly 40% below its own five-year average and about half its listed peers — despite being the largest by tower count and the strongest cash generator.
- Not cheap without reason. More leverage than peers and a 42% single-customer both argue for some discount; a discount of half the peer multiple, on a deleveraging landlord, is a wide gap to close on fundamentals.
Forward estimates
Consensus expects slow growth and a re-rating, not re-acceleration
Revenue & EBITDA — actual to consensus (Rp tn)
13 analysts; revenue growth of roughly 2–4.5% a year.
- Low-single-digit growth. Revenue is seen near Rp13.9tn in 2026 and Rp14.3tn in 2027; EPS dips to about Rp67 on the enlarged share count, then recovers toward Rp72–73 by 2028 — still barely above the Rp69 of 2021.
- Where the target comes from. Nine of 13 analysts sit at their strongest buy, none negative; the bridge to the Rp685 mean target is deleveraging and a multiple re-rating, not a growth story.
Scenarios
The target ladder against a Rp414 price
Analyst targets and illustrative scenarios (Rp)
Bear — flat EPS at 5–6x
Rp380
Median target
Rp660
Mean target
Rp685
Bull — ~10x on Rp72 EPS
Rp720
Street high
Rp950
13-analyst spread; scenarios are illustrative, not forecasts.
- An asymmetric spread. The 13-analyst range runs Rp390 low to Rp950 high around a Rp685 mean, some 65% above Rp414; even the most bearish target is only about 6% below today's price.
- What each side needs. Flat EPS at 5–6x lands near Rp380; a re-rate to TOWR's ~10x historical average on ~Rp72 EPS lands near Rp720. Targets are not floors.
The read
Cheap for real reasons, and perhaps too cheap
~40%
below its own five-year multiple
~Rp3.0tn
equity free cash flow after paying lenders
Rp69
EPS ceiling held since 2021 — the number that must break
- The bear owns the discount. A landlord that cannot grow per-share earnings and leans on three buyers for 87% of revenue has earned a cheaper multiple than a compounder.
- The bull owns the asymmetry. 82% EBITDA margins, ~Rp3.0tn of equity FCF covering the dividend 2.5x, active deleveraging, and a controller adding capital above the market.
- What decides it. Whether the tower-tenancy line stabilises and whether falling finance costs finally let EPS break the Rp69 ceiling it has held for five years.
What to watch
A deleveraged, family-backed landlord that is cheap — for reasons real and possibly overdrawn
- 01Tenancy ratio: a rise above 1.70x on genuine new tenants confirms the collocation lever; a slip toward Tower Bersama's falling 1.73x confirms the ceiling.
- 02Basic EPS: a break above the Rp69 five-year ceiling toward Rp72–73, versus holding flat as finance costs stay high.
- 03Net debt / EBITDA: resuming its fall below 3.74x, versus creeping up on debt-funded acquisitions.
- 04Credit rating: investment grade affirmed, versus any move toward or below the BBB- edge.
This distills a guided study built chapter by chapter — financials, industry, valuation, control and the balance sheet.
Compiled from the full report · 2026-07-23 · For information, not investment advice.